Leagues / MACEDONIA / First League
First League
● LOW SAMPLE
FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET
Upcoming First League predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
4 SEPT16:30 Bregalnica Štip vs Shkëndija Haraçinë Over 2.5 60% 1.80 +7%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 33 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
51.5%
1X2
17/33
45.5%
O/U 2.5
15/33
45.5%
BTTS
15/33
33.3%
Exact score
11/33
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
6
Settled
50.0%
Hit rate
3/6
1.84
Avg odds
-7.5%
ROI
-0.5u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=4 25.0% HIT · AVG 1.82 · -55.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.00 · +100.0% ROI
BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.75 · +75.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-12.5%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
3
Bets
33%
Hit
-40.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 8 PICKS · 4 HIT · 4 MISS
31 AUG Tikveš vs Vardar Skopje BTTS 1–1 HIT28 AUG Sileks vs Shkendija Over 2.5 0–2 MISS24 AUG Vardar Skopje vs Sileks BTTS -1% 4–1 HIT24 AUG Shkendija vs Struga BTTS 2–1 HIT16 AUG Struga vs Vardar Skopje BTTS -2% 1–0 MISS14 AUG Aresimi vs Bashkimi Kumanovo Over 2.5 1–0 MISS9 AUG Vardar Skopje vs Shkendija BTTS 0–2 MISS8 AUG Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Tikveš AO1.5 0–5 HITMay 2026 // 7 PICKS · 5 HIT · 2 MISS
25 MAY Rabotnicki vs Tikves BTTS 1–3 HIT25 MAY Makedonija vs Sileks Over 2.5 4–2 HIT24 MAY Pelister vs Bashkimi BTTS -8% 1–0 MISS23 MAY Aresimi vs Struga Over 2.5 1–0 MISS16 MAY Bashkimi vs Makedonija BTTS -10% 3–3 HIT16 MAY Tikves vs Pelister BTTS -7% 2–2 HIT16 MAY Shkupi vs Rabotnicki Away 0–7 HIT