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Macedonia - First League Tuesday, April 14, 2026 11:00 
Aresimi PPG 1.25 
Pelister PPG 0.85
Macedonia - First League Tuesday, April 14, 2026 11:00 Aresimi PPG 1.251-0 HIT CS3
Pelister PPG 0.85Home· +45.2% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 58.5% Odds: 2.00 +17.0%
Over 3.5 36.1% Odds: — —
BTTS 58.6% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✔
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 1-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Aresimi 1.85
Pelister 1.19
Model Suggestion
BTTS ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+45.2%)
Raw EV leader: Home(+45.2%)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
MODERATE_HOME 75%
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.85)