Championship

SCOTLAND · 17 MATCHES TRACKED · 14 APR 2026 – 1 MAY 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 17 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

47.1%

1X2

8/17

58.8%

O/U 2.5

10/17

41.2%

BTTS

7/17

47.1%

Exact score

8/17

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

28.6%

Hit rate

2/7

1.95

Avg odds

-42.3%

ROI

-3.0u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

HOME WIN · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.90 · +1.0% ROI

BTTS · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.81 · -100.0% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.40 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

67%

Hit

+34.7%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

Match log

17 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

May 2026 // 2 PICKS · 0 HIT · 2 MISS

1 MAY Ayr Utd vs St. Johnstone — NO PICK 0–1 —1 MAY Raith Rovers vs Ross County — NO PICK 3–2 —1 MAY Partick Thistle vs Queens Park Home -22% 1–1 MISS 1 MAY Greenock Morton vs Airdrieonians — NO PICK 1–1 —1 MAY Dunfermline vs Arbroath BTTS -6% 0–0 MISS

April 2026 // 5 PICKS · 2 HIT · 3 MISS

25 APR Airdrieonians vs Ayr Utd — NO PICK 2–1 —25 APR Arbroath vs Partick Thistle BTTS -7% 0–0 MISS 25 APR Queens Park vs Dunfermline — NO PICK 0–2 —25 APR Ross County vs Greenock Morton — NO PICK 4–0 —24 APR St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers Home +18% 2–0 HIT 21 APR Dunfermline vs St. Johnstone BTTS 0–2 MISS 18 APR Ross County vs Ayr Utd — NO PICK 2–1 —18 APR Greenock Morton vs Queens Park Home +6% 0–0 MISS 18 APR Arbroath vs Raith Rovers Home +31% 2–1 HIT 18 APR Airdrieonians vs Partick Thistle — NO PICK 2–2 —