| Grade | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | 2 | 50.0% | −1500.0% |
| F | 2 | 50.0% | −2250.0% |
| Unrated | 3 | 100.0% | +5533.0% |
| Market | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5 | 80.0% | +2720.0% |
| Over2.5 | 2 | 50.0% | −2250.0% |
| Verdict | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value | 2 | 50.0% | −450.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @30% | 1 | 100.0% | +7000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value | 1 | 100.0% | +2000.0% |
| ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV: Home @32% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @9% | 1 | 100.0% | +5500.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | Best EV: Over2.5 @11% | 1 | 100.0% | +5500.0% |
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May | Alloa Athletic vs Queen of South | BTTS | -17% EV | 1-4 | HIT |
| 2 May | Cove Rangers vs East Fife | BTTS | -17% EV | 0-0 | MISS |
| 2 May | Inverness vs Hamilton | BTTS | -13% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 2 May | Montrose vs Stenhousemuir | BTTS | -10% EV | 0-2 | MISS |
| 2 May | Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts | BTTS | -0% EV | 0-2 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic | Home | 1% EV | 1-0 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | East Fife vs Inverness | Away | -6% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Hamilton vs Peterhead | Home | 9% EV | 3-1 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers | — | — | 0-2 | — |
| 25 Apr | Queen of South vs Montrose | Home | 8% EV | 2-2 | MISS |
| 18 Apr | Peterhead vs Queen of South | BTTS | 5% EV | 1-1 | HIT |
| 18 Apr | Alloa Athletic vs East Fife | Home | 30% EV | 2-0 | HIT |
| 18 Apr | Cove Rangers vs Stenhousemuir | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| 18 Apr | Inverness vs Kelty Hearts | Home | 5% EV | 1-0 | HIT |
| 18 Apr | Montrose vs Hamilton | BTTS | -2% EV | 0-2 | MISS |
| 14 Apr | Peterhead vs Inverness | Away | -17% EV | 0-2 | HIT |