Leagues / ENGLAND / National League - South
National League - South
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 49 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
40.8%
1X2
20/49
63.3%
O/U 2.5
31/49
63.3%
BTTS
31/49
40.8%
Exact score
20/49
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
16
Settled
62.5%
Hit rate
10/16
1.81
Avg odds
+8.9%
ROI
+1.4u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=7 42.9% HIT · AVG 2.08 · -11.4% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=7 71.4% HIT · AVG 1.62 · +15.7% ROI
BTTS · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.56 · +56.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
67%
Hit
+20.7%
ROI
✓ Solid
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+115.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
7
Bets
57%
Hit
-3.3%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
5
Bets
60%
Hit
-2.4%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 13 PICKS · 7 HIT · 6 MISS
31 AUG Chesham United vs Dover Over 2.5 -0% 2–2 HIT31 AUG Maidenhead vs AFC Totton Home -15% 1–1 MISS31 AUG Hampton & Richmond vs Maidstone Utd Over 2.5 +13% 1–4 HIT31 AUG Weston-super-Mare vs Chelmsford City BTTS -8% 1–1 HIT31 AUG Dagenham & Redbridge vs Slough Town HO1.5 1–0 MISS29 AUG Hemel Hempstead Town vs Weston-super-Mare BTTS -3% 1–3 HIT29 AUG Maidstone Utd vs Salisbury BTTS -7% 2–1 HIT29 AUG AFC Totton vs Chesham United BTTS -15% 0–4 MISS29 AUG Torquay vs Hampton & Richmond HO1.5 1–1 MISS29 AUG Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead — NO PICK 1–0 —22 AUG Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town Home +26% 1–2 MISS22 AUG Dagenham & Redbridge vs Torquay BTTS -15% 2–0 MISS22 AUG Hampton & Richmond vs Slough Town Over 2.5 +7% 5–3 HIT22 AUG Maidenhead vs Farnborough — NO PICK 1–1 —22 AUG Dorking Wanderers vs Maidstone Utd BTTS -18% 2–3 HIT