Today / Suderelbe vs Curslack-N.

Suderelbe vs Curslack-N. Prediction

Tuesday, April 14, 2026

Suderelbe

PPG 1.62 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Curslack-N.

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-10.9%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-05.7%1-13.1%1-20.8%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-010.3%2-15.5%2-21.5%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-012.3%3-16.7%3-21.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-028.4%4+-115.3%4+-24.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 91.0% — — —

Draw 6.5% — — —

Away win 2.5% — — —

Over 2.5 78.4% — — —

Over 3.5 59.6% — — —

BTTS 40.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob40.7%

H 91% / xG 3.6-0.5 / O2.5 78% / NoBTTS 41%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 12.3%

#2 4–0 11.1%

#3 2–0 10.3%

#4 5–0 8.1%

#5 3–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suderelbe3.6

Curslack-N.0.5

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.4% · O3.5 PROB 59.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SUDERELBE · PPG 1.62

CURSLACK-N. · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Suderelbe (H) 91.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 6.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Curslack-N. (A) 2.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Suderelbe face Curslack-N. on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suderelbe a 91% chance, the draw 7% and Curslack-N. 3%, so Suderelbe are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Suderelbe and 0.5 for Curslack-N. (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suderelbe are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.00 for Curslack-N.. This match finished 2-2.

Suderelbe vs Curslack-N. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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