Today / Scotland - Championship / Queens Park vs Raith Rovers

Queens Park vs Raith Rovers Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 18:45

Queens Park

PPG 1.38 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Raith Rovers

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-110.3%0-24.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.0%1-113.1%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.9%2-18.3%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.8%3-13.5%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.1% 33.3% 3.00 +32.3%

Draw 28.5% 33.3% 3.00 -14.5%

Away win 27.3% 42.4% 2.36 -35.6%

Over 2.5 38.0% 42.6% 2.35 -10.7%

Over 3.5 18.3% 22.2% 4.50 -17.6%

BTTS 43.8% 51.8% 1.93 -15.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -42.3%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob43.8%

H 44% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.0%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 0–0 11.0%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 2–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Queens Park1.3

Raith Rovers0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.3%

Form & verdict PPG

QUEENS PARK · PPG 1.38

RAITH ROVERS · PPG 0.80

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Queens Park (H) 44.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +32.3%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -14.5%

Raith Rovers (A) 27.3%

ODDS 2.36 · IMPLIED 42.4% EV -35.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Queens Park face Raith Rovers in Scotland - Championship on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Queens Park a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Raith Rovers 27%, so Queens Park are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Queens Park and 0.9 for Raith Rovers (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Queens Park are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.80 for Raith Rovers. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +32.3%. This match finished 0-2.

Queens Park vs Raith Rovers Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More Scotland - Championship Predictions