Queens Park vs Raith Rovers Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Scotland - Championship Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:45

Queens Park PPG 1.38

0-2 MISS

Raith Rovers PPG 0.80

Home· +32.3% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Queens Park face Raith Rovers in Scotland - Championship on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Queens Park a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Raith Rovers 27%, so Queens Park are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Queens Park and 0.9 for Raith Rovers (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Queens Park are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.80 for Raith Rovers. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +32.3%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.1%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +32.3%

Draw 28.5%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -14.5%

Away 27.3%

Odds: 2.36 EV: -35.6%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.0% Odds: 2.35 -10.7%

Over 3.5 18.3% Odds: 4.50 -17.6%

BTTS 43.8% Odds: 1.93 -15.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Queens Park

1.27

Raith Rovers

0.94

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 41%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 50% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.80)