Portsmouth vs Ipswich Town Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship Tuesday, April 14, 2026 19:00

Portsmouth PPG 1.15

VS PENDING

Ipswich Town PPG 1.53

Over3.5· +37.8% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Portsmouth face Ipswich Town in England - Championship on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Portsmouth a 24% chance, the draw 23% and Ipswich Town 54%, so Ipswich Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Portsmouth and 1.9 for Ipswich Town (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Portsmouth are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 1.53 for Ipswich Town. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +37.8%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.7%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -11.1%

Draw 22.6%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -23.2%

Away 53.7%

Odds: 1.97 EV: +5.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.2% Odds: 2.10 +22.2%

Over 3.5 35.8% Odds: 3.85 +37.8%

BTTS 58.1% Odds: 1.91 +11.0%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 0-1

4th 0-2

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Portsmouth

1.16

Ipswich Town

1.86

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +22.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+37.8%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -1.0%

Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.15) vs Away GOOD (1.53)