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Talleres R. E. vs Villa Dalmine Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 18:30

Talleres R. E.

PPG 2.25 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Villa Dalmine

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.5%0-118.7%0-29.5%0-33.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.5%1-112.6%1-26.4%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-04.2%2-14.3%2-22.2%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.0%3-11.0%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.9% 45.5% 2.20 -47.4%

Draw 33.5% 35.1% 2.85 -4.5%

Away win 42.6% 29.4% 3.40 +44.8%

Over 2.5 24.0% 33.9% 2.95 -29.2%

Over 3.5 9.1% — — —

BTTS 31.3% 43.5% 2.30 -28.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob31.3%

A 43% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 31%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 18.7%

#2 0–0 18.5%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 1–0 12.5%

#5 0–2✓ 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Talleres R. E.0.7

Villa Dalmine1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 24.0% · O3.5 PROB 9.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TALLERES R. E. · PPG 2.25

VILLA DALMINE · PPG 3.00

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.25)

Win probability 1X2

Talleres R. E. (H) 23.9%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -47.4%

Draw 33.5%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -4.5%

Villa Dalmine (A) 42.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +44.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Talleres R. E. face Villa Dalmine in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talleres R. E. a 24% chance, the draw 34% and Villa Dalmine 43%, so Villa Dalmine are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Talleres R. E. and 1.0 for Villa Dalmine (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 31% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talleres R. E. are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 3.00 for Villa Dalmine. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +44.8%. This match finished 0-2.

Talleres R. E. vs Villa Dalmine Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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