K. Ismailia vs Ismaily Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Egypt - Premier League Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:00

K. Ismailia PPG 0.31

1-1 HIT CS4

Ismaily PPG 0.42

Home· +64.6% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

K. Ismailia face Ismaily in Egypt - Premier League on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives K. Ismailia a 64% chance, the draw 20% and Ismaily 16%, so K. Ismailia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for K. Ismailia and 0.9 for Ismaily (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, K. Ismailia are averaging 0.31 points per game versus 0.42 for Ismaily. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +64.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.8%

Odds: 2.58 EV: +64.6%

Draw 20.4%

Odds: 2.85 EV: -41.9%

Away 15.8%

Odds: 2.84 EV: -55.1%

Model lean: Home

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.8% Odds: 2.45 +39.2%

Over 3.5 34.4% Odds: 4.75 +63.4%

BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.95 +1.6%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-1 ✔

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

K. Ismailia

2.05

Ismaily

0.91

Model SuggestionHome +64.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.31), Away POOR (0.42)