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Hull City U21 vs Bournemouth U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

England - Professional Development League Tuesday, April 14, 2026 12:00
Hull City U21 PPG 1.54
0-4 MISS
Bournemouth U21 PPG 1.23
Home· +30.7% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hull City U21 face Bournemouth U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hull City U21 a 44% chance, the draw 23% and Bournemouth U21 33%, so Hull City U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Hull City U21 and 1.5 for Bournemouth U21 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hull City U21 are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.23 for Bournemouth U21. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.7%. This match finished 0-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.3%
Odds: 2.95 EV: +30.7%
Draw 23.1%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -5.3%
Away 32.6%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -39.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.5% Odds: —
Over 3.5 40.3% Odds: 1.55 -37.5%
BTTS 63.7% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 1-0
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Hull City U21
1.75
Bournemouth U21
1.47

Model Suggestion

BTTS EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)

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