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Hull City U21 vs Bournemouth U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 12:00

Hull City U21

PPG 1.54 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Bournemouth U21

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-15.9%0-24.3%0-32.1%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.0%1-110.3%1-27.6%1-33.7%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-19.0%2-26.6%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.6%3-15.2%3-23.9%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.4%4+-22.5%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 33.9% 2.95 +30.7%

Draw 23.1% 24.4% 4.10 -5.3%

Away win 32.6% 54.1% 1.85 -39.7%

Over 2.5 62.5% — — —

Over 3.5 40.3% 64.5% 1.55 -37.5%

BTTS 63.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 18%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.7%

H 44% / xG 1.8-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 1–0 7.0%

#5 2–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hull City U211.8

Bournemouth U211.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.5% · O3.5 PROB 40.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HULL CITY U21 · PPG 1.54

BOURNEMOUTH U21 · PPG 1.23

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Hull City U21 (H) 44.3%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +30.7%

Draw 23.1%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -5.3%

Bournemouth U21 (A) 32.6%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -39.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hull City U21 face Bournemouth U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hull City U21 a 44% chance, the draw 23% and Bournemouth U21 33%, so Hull City U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Hull City U21 and 1.5 for Bournemouth U21 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hull City U21 are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.23 for Bournemouth U21. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.7%. This match finished 0-4.

Hull City U21 vs Bournemouth U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

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