Football predictions today · Mon 13 Apr

210 graded O2.5 59% BTTS 57% 1X2 48% Full record →

Albania - Superliga 2 League predictions →

—

AF Elbasani 2.00 ppg

Partizani T. 1.47 ppg

62.4% +21.7%

19.8% -40.6%

17.8% -34.1%

O2.5

O2.5 63.1% · BTTS 58.5%

Score

3–1

Pending

—

Bylis 1.47 ppg

Dinamo Tirana 1.33 ppg

27.1% -16.0%

24.5% -28.9%

48.5% +6.7%

BTTS

+7.8%

O2.5 53.0% · BTTS 55.3%

Score

1–2

Pending

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina 3 League predictions →

—

Defensa y J. 1.33 ppg

T. de Cordoba 1.33 ppg

56.9% +63.9%

23.2% -37.8%

19.9% -42.7%

Home

+63.9%

O2.5 51.4% · BTTS 51.0%

Score

2–1

Pending

—

Lanus 1.60 ppg

Banfield 0.00 ppg

79.3% +42.7%

10.8% -63.8%

9.9% -54.9%

O2.5

+112.4%

O2.5 90.4% · BTTS 76.0%

Score

4–1

Pending

—

Sarmiento 2.17 ppg

Gimnasia 1.17 ppg

62.6% +49.0%

19.4% -43.7%

18.0% -40.6%

O2.5

+77.4%

O2.5 65.7% · BTTS 60.6%

Score

3–1

Pending

Bulgaria - First League 2 League predictions →

—

Beroe 0.79 ppg

Lok. Plovdiv 1.21 ppg

21.6% -28.7%

25.2% -19.4%

53.2% +11.7%

Away

+11.7%

O2.5 45.4% · BTTS 47.5%

Score

0–3

Pending

—

CSKA Sofia 2.36 ppg

Levski Sofia 2.07 ppg

40.3% +2.8%

24.9% -27.8%

34.8% -4.3%

BTTS

+10.0%

O2.5 54.6% · BTTS 57.9%

Score

2–1

Pending

Colombia - Primera B 2 League predictions →

—

Bogota 1.00 ppg

Orsomarso 1.29 ppg

43.7% -10.4%

25.3% -21.6%

31.0% +10.1%

BTTS

+2.5%

O2.5 51.9% · BTTS 55.4%

Score

2–1

Pending

—

Union Magdalena 2.00 ppg

Inter Palmira 2.43 ppg

43.4% -17.1%

20.1% -37.7%

36.5% +42.4%

O2.5

+73.6%

O2.5 78.9% · BTTS 76.9%

Score

3–2

Pending

Croatia - HNL Regular Season - 29 1 League predictions →

—

Vukovar 1.29 ppg

Dinamo Zagreb 2.07 ppg

5.1% +73.4%

9.5% -46.8%

85.5% -3.4%

Away

O2.5 77.7% · BTTS 51.6%

Score

1–4

Pending

Denmark - Superliga 1 League predictions →

—

Fredericia 0.92 ppg

Vejle BK 0.33 ppg

46.0% +5.8%

23.9% -14.0%

30.0% -16.0%

BTTS

O2.5 57.3% · BTTS 59.3%

Score

2–1

Pending

Egypt - Premier League Relegation Group - 4 3 League predictions →

—

El Geish 1.36 ppg

Petrojet 1.08 ppg

33.5% -15.6%

25.7% -28.0%

40.8% +22.4%

BTTS

O2.5 50.9% · BTTS 54.9%

Score

1–2

Pending

—

Ghazl El M. 1.25 ppg

Wadi Degla 1.55 ppg

30.3% +31.8%

33.0% -10.9%

36.7% -25.1%

No bet

O2.5 26.5% · BTTS 34.7%

Score

1–1

Pending

—

Pharco 0.82 ppg

Haras El Hodood 0.45 ppg

34.2% -18.6%

32.3% -17.6%

33.5% +20.6%

No bet

O2.5 28.4% · BTTS 36.6%

Score

1–1

Pending

England - Premier League 1 League predictions →

—

Manchester Utd 2.20 ppg

Leeds Utd 0.67 ppg

74.0% +14.7%

14.7% -39.7%

11.3% -36.7%

Home

+14.7%

O2.5 73.9% · BTTS 60.7%

Score

3–1

Pending

England - Premier League 2 Division One 4 League predictions →

—

C. Palace U21 1.67 ppg

Arsenal U21 1.33 ppg

54.9% +12.6%

23.4% -15.8%

21.7% -41.4%

Home

+12.6%

O2.5 52.9% · BTTS 53.1%

Score

2–1

Pending

—

Leeds Utd U21 0.78 ppg

Leicester U21 1.56 ppg

25.1% -34.2%

23.0% -8.0%

51.9% +1.2%

BTTS

O2.5 58.1% · BTTS 58.5%

Score

1–2

Pending

—

Man City U21 2.78 ppg

Norwich U21 0.89 ppg

89.5% +0.2%

7.3% -41.6%

3.2% -64.8%

Home

+0.2%

O2.5 79.2% · BTTS 45.6%

Score

4–1

Pending

—

Reading U21 1.22 ppg

Derby C. U21 0.67 ppg

49.8% -2.9%

24.3% -14.9%

26.0% -24.6%

BTTS

O2.5 53.2% · BTTS 55.1%

Score

2–1

Pending

England - Professional Development League 2 League predictions →

—

Crewe A. U21 0.93 ppg

QP Rangers U21 1.14 ppg

35.1% +1.8%

24.0% -8.8%

40.9% -20.3%

BTTS

O2.5 58.7% · BTTS 61.0%

Score

1–2

Pending

—

Sheffield U U21 2.17 ppg

Bristol C. U21 0.77 ppg

70.6% +1.7%

18.9% -9.3%

10.5% -47.5%

Home

+1.7%

O2.5 51.1% · BTTS 41.7%

Score

3–0

Pending

France - Ligue 2 1 League predictions →

—

Rodez Aveyron 1.57 ppg

Troyes 1.50 ppg

33.7% +19.6%

25.8% -9.7%

40.5% -19.0%

BTTS

O2.5 50.2% · BTTS 54.4%

Score

1–2

Pending

Hungary - NB I 1 League predictions →

—

Kisvarda 1.71 ppg

Debrecen 1.71 ppg

31.4% -13.7%

27.5% -7.9%

41.0% -4.1%

No bet

O2.5 42.9% · BTTS 48.4%

Score

0–2

Pending

Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 Regular Season - 33 1 League predictions →

—

Torino U20 1.31 ppg

Cremonese U20 0.75 ppg

59.6% +1.3%

23.5% -20.1%

16.9% -32.4%

Home

+1.3%

O2.5 46.0% · BTTS 44.9%

Score

3–0

Pending

Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 32 1 League predictions →

—

Fiorentina 1.00 ppg

Lazio 1.20 ppg

36.4% -17.7%

28.8% -12.2%

34.9% +15.2%

No bet

O2.5 38.9% · BTTS 45.5%

Score

1–1

Pending

Italy - Serie C - Girone A 2 League predictions →

—

D. Bellunesi 1.24 ppg

Pro Patria 0.41 ppg

64.0% +13.3%

19.2% -32.8%

16.8% -32.8%

O2.5

+22.6%

O2.5 64.5% · BTTS 58.8%

Score

3–1

Pending

—

Renate 1.53 ppg

Pro Vercelli 1.06 ppg

69.0% +48.4%

17.1% -47.0%

13.9% -55.5%

Home

+48.4%

O2.5 68.6% · BTTS 59.4%

Score

3–1

Pending

Italy - Serie C - Girone C Girone C - 36 3 League predictions →

—

Benevento 2.65 ppg

Cavese 0.76 ppg

86.2% +33.6%

9.8% -65.7%

4.0% -76.8%

Home

+33.6%

O2.5 69.0% · BTTS 39.8%

Score

4–0

Pending

—

Crotone 1.82 ppg

Catania 1.47 ppg

42.2% +11.8%

28.0% -18.8%

29.8% -21.0%

No bet

O2.5 40.6% · BTTS 46.4%

Score

2–0

Pending

—

Picerno 1.06 ppg

Cosenza 1.24 ppg

29.9% -7.3%

23.8% -29.8%

46.3% +6.5%

BTTS

+9.4%

O2.5 58.0% · BTTS 59.8%

Score

1–2

Pending

Macedonia - First League 1 League predictions →

—

Struga 2.00 ppg

Tikves 1.42 ppg

64.6% -7.0%

20.1% -15.6%

15.2% -16.4%

Home

O2.5 56.9% · BTTS 51.7%

Score

2–1

Pending

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie 3 League predictions →

—

Jong Ajax 1.18 ppg

TOP Oss 1.00 ppg

47.3% +1.7%

24.5% -5.7%

28.2% -18.2%

BTTS

O2.5 53.6% · BTTS 56.1%

Score

2–1

Pending

—

Jong AZ 0.65 ppg

Jong PSV 1.35 ppg

38.3% -31.1%

21.3% -10.5%

40.4% +49.5%

O2.5

O2.5 73.0% · BTTS 72.2%

Score

1–3

Pending

—

Jong Utrecht 1.53 ppg

Vitesse Arnhem 1.53 ppg

41.2% +7.1%

23.5% -13.1%

35.3% -13.5%

BTTS

O2.5 61.4% · BTTS 63.1%

Score

3–1

Pending

Poland - Ekstraklasa Regular Season - 28 1 League predictions →

—

Piast Gliwice 1.38 ppg

Pogon Szczecin 0.62 ppg

56.4% +22.9%

22.8% -20.2%

20.8% -36.6%

Home

+22.9%

O2.5 54.3% · BTTS 53.7%

Score

2–1

Pending

Poland - I Liga 1 League predictions →

—

LKS Lodz 1.62 ppg

Pogon Grodzisk 1.15 ppg

52.7% -10.4%

23.1% -12.2%

24.2% -3.2%

BTTS

O2.5 56.9% · BTTS 57.3%

Score

2–1

Pending

Portugal - Primeira Liga Regular Season - 29 1 League predictions →

—

Tondela 0.64 ppg

Gil Vicente 1.29 ppg

16.0% -37.6%

26.2% -13.5%

57.9% +13.5%

Away

+13.5%

O2.5 36.1% · BTTS 36.9%

Score

0–2

Pending

Portugal - Segunda Liga 1 League predictions →

—

Lusitania FC 1.29 ppg

FC Porto B 1.07 ppg

41.9% -5.3%

21.3% -34.0%

36.8% +14.1%

O2.5

+56.7%

O2.5 72.9% · BTTS 72.1%

Score

3–1

Pending

Qatar - Stars League 2 League predictions →

—

Al Arabi 1.50 ppg

Al Sailiya 0.67 ppg

57.6% -9.6%

23.2% -8.4%

19.2% -4.0%

Home

O2.5 50.4% · BTTS 49.8%

Score

3–0

Pending

—

Al Shamal 1.80 ppg

Qatar SC 1.20 ppg

52.0% -6.4%

25.2% -6.8%

22.7% -20.5%

Home

O2.5 46.4% · BTTS 48.7%

Score

3–0

Pending

Russia - Premier League 1 League predictions →

—

Akron 0.82 ppg

Dinamo Moscow 1.36 ppg

27.8% +18.1%

20.5% -13.9%

51.7% -7.5%

O2.5

+7.9%

O2.5 72.4% · BTTS 70.3%

Score

1–3

Pending

Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Regular Season - 29 3 League predictions →

—

Al Bukayriyah 1.36 ppg

Al Anwar 0.92 ppg

37.5% +16.3%

27.9% -13.5%

34.6% -22.1%

No bet

O2.5 41.9% · BTTS 47.9%

Score

2–0

Pending

—

Al Jabalain 1.93 ppg

Al Jubail 0.07 ppg

86.2% +24.1%

9.6% -60.6%

4.3% -73.1%

Home

+24.1%

O2.5 72.2% · BTTS 43.7%

Score

4–0

Pending

—

Al Zulfi 1.36 ppg

Al Diraiyah 1.79 ppg

24.0% +15.2%

24.2% -3.2%

51.7% -19.9%

BTTS

O2.5 51.6% · BTTS 53.2%

Score

1–2

Pending

Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 31 1 League predictions →

—

Levante 0.93 ppg

Getafe 1.33 ppg

38.4% +1.4%

27.7% -19.1%

33.9% -3.0%

No bet

O2.5 42.7% · BTTS 48.5%

Score

2–0

Pending

Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 35 1 League predictions →

—

Valladolid 1.29 ppg

Eibar 0.88 ppg

40.6% -5.0%

29.6% -6.8%

29.8% -9.1%

No bet

O2.5 35.6% · BTTS 42.3%

Score

2–0

Pending

Turkey - 1. Lig 4 League predictions →

—

Amed SK 2.65 ppg

Umraniyespor 0.82 ppg

79.3% +1.5%

14.4% -28.0%

6.3% -44.6%

Home

+1.5%

O2.5 56.6% · BTTS 37.6%

Score

3–0

Pending

—

Erzurum BB 2.29 ppg

Boluspor 1.00 ppg

87.2% +18.6%

8.7% -61.7%

4.1% -71.3%

Home

+18.6%

O2.5 76.8% · BTTS 47.5%

Score

4–1

Pending

—

Sakaryaspor 1.35 ppg

Erokspor 2.00 ppg

14.3% -19.9%

18.4% -24.6%

67.3% -0.4%

Away

O2.5 63.0% · BTTS 55.3%

Score

1–3

Pending

—

Sivasspor 1.65 ppg

Istanbulspor 1.24 ppg

56.8% -3.4%

25.3% -7.7%

17.9% -24.8%

Home

O2.5 40.9% · BTTS 41.8%

Score

2–0

Pending

Turkey - Süper Lig 2 League predictions →

—

Eyupspor 0.93 ppg

Samsunspor 1.21 ppg

27.1% +13.8%

27.2% -6.2%

45.7% -15.9%

No bet

O2.5 42.2% · BTTS 47.0%

Score

0–2

Pending

—

Rizespor 1.43 ppg

Gaziantep 1.21 ppg

52.7% -8.8%

21.1% -19.8%

26.1% +14.8%

O2.5

+12.4%

O2.5 68.1% · BTTS 66.5%

Score

3–1

Pending

— Unknown — Regular Season - 33 8 League predictions →

—

Milan U20 1.31 ppg

Atalanta U20 1.38 ppg

46.1%

22.1%

31.9%

— no odds —

O2.5

O2.5 67.2% · BTTS 67.2%

Score

3–1

Pending

—

National Bank 1.09 ppg

A. Contractors 1.27 ppg

52.7%

26.1%

21.3%

— no odds —

Home

O2.5 42.0% · BTTS 44.7%

Score

2–0

Pending

—

Newcastle U21 1.11 ppg

Wolves U21 1.11 ppg

54.1%

22.9%

23.0%

— no odds —

O2.5

O2.5 56.2% · BTTS 56.2%

Score

2–1

Pending

—

Nueva Chicago 1.67 ppg

Midland 1.33 ppg

47.8%

32.7%

19.5%

— no odds —

No bet

O2.5 23.6% · BTTS 29.3%

Score

2–0

Pending

—

Patriotas 1.83 ppg

Real Cartagena 1.67 ppg

25.7%

27.7%

46.6%

— no odds —

No bet

O2.5 39.9% · BTTS 44.9%

Score

0–2

Pending

—

Penarol 2.00 ppg

Liverpool M. 1.60 ppg

67.6%

16.9%

15.5%

— no odds —

O2.5

O2.5 73.1% · BTTS 64.5%

Score

3–1

Pending

—

Shkendija 2.23 ppg

Shkupi 0.00 ppg

98.6%

1.2%

0.2%

— no odds —

Home

O2.5 90.6% · BTTS 20.7%

Score

4–1

Pending

—

Tristan Suarez 2.00 ppg

A. Rafaela 1.33 ppg

75.3%

17.0%

7.7%

— no odds —

Home

O2.5 50.9% · BTTS 36.8%

Score

3–0

Pending

How the model calls it

01 · Strength

Attack and defence ratings per team from recent form, weighted by opposition — the inputs behind expected goals.

02 · Poisson

Goal expectancies become a full scoreline matrix: win, draw, Over 2.5, BTTS and top correct scores from one distribution.

03 · Edge

Model probability vs live bookmaker odds. A positive gap is value, flagged on every outcome as +EV%. No edge, no bet.

Questions, answered straight

How accurate are these football predictions?

Every pick is graded automatically at full time and kept on the public record. The full history, including losing days, is on the Accuracy page.

What is a value bet?

A bet where the model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. If the model says 49% and the odds imply 34%, that gap is the edge — shown as +EV% next to each outcome. Value bets can still lose; the point is being paid more than the risk is worth over hundreds of bets.

How does a Poisson model predict matches?

It estimates how many goals each team is expected to score from attack and defence strength, then computes the probability of every scoreline. Summing those scorelines gives win/draw/loss, Over/Under and BTTS probabilities from a single consistent model.

Are the predictions free?

Yes — every match, every league, every day.

Why does the model say "No bet" on some matches?

When no outcome clears the confidence threshold, the model passes. Skipping bad spots is part of how the hit rate stays honest — a tip site that picks every match is selling volume, not edge.

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