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Levante vs Getafe Prediction— Spain - La Liga

Regular Season - 31 ·Monday, April 13, 2026

Levante

PPG 0.93 · HOME

UPCOMING

Getafe

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-110.5%0-26.0%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.4%1-113.1%1-27.5%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.1%2-18.1%2-24.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.9%3-13.4%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% 37.9% 2.64 +1.4%

Draw 27.7% 34.2% 2.92 -19.1%

Away win 33.9% 35.0% 2.86 -3.0%

Over 2.5 42.7% 37.7% 2.65 +13.2%

Over 3.5 21.9% 19.0% 5.25 +15.0%

BTTS 48.5% 46.5% 2.15 +4.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 15.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.5%

H 38% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 1–0 11.4%

#3 0–1 10.5%

#4 0–0 9.2%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Levante1.2

Getafe1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.9%

Form & verdict PPG

LEVANTE · PPG 0.93

GETAFE · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.93) vs Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Levante (H) 38.4%

ODDS 2.64 · IMPLIED 37.9% EV +1.4%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 2.92 · IMPLIED 34.2% EV -19.1%

Getafe (A) 33.9%

ODDS 2.86 · IMPLIED 35.0% EV -3.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Levante face Getafe in Spain - La Liga on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Levante a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Getafe 34%, so Levante are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Levante and 1.1 for Getafe (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Levante are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.33 for Getafe. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +15.0%.

Levante vs Getafe Prediction— Spain - La Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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