Levante vs Getafe Prediction— Spain - La Liga

Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 31 Estadio Ciudad de Valencia· Valencia Monday, April 13, 2026 —

Levante PPG 0.93

VS PENDING

Getafe PPG 1.33

Over3.5· +15.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Levante face Getafe in Spain - La Liga on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Levante a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Getafe 34%, so Levante are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Levante and 1.1 for Getafe (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Levante are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.33 for Getafe. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +15.0%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.4%

Odds: 2.64 EV: +1.4%

Draw 27.7%

Odds: 2.92 EV: -19.1%

Away 33.9%

Odds: 2.86 EV: -3.0%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.7% Odds: 2.65 +13.2%

Over 3.5 21.9% Odds: 5.25 +15.0%

BTTS 48.5% Odds: 2.15 +4.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-0

3rd 0-1

4th 0-0

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Levante

1.24

Getafe

1.15

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 64%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -19.9%

Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.93) vs Away AVERAGE (1.33)