Today / Shkendija vs Shkupi

Shkendija vs Shkupi Prediction

Monday, April 13, 2026

Shkendija

PPG 2.23 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shkupi

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-10.1%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.3%1-10.5%1-20.1%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-06.0%2-11.4%2-20.2%2-30.0%2-4+0.0%3 3-010.3%3-12.4%3-20.3%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-060.1%4+-114.0%4+-21.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 98.6% — — —

Draw 1.2% — — —

Away win 0.2% — — —

Over 2.5 90.6% — — —

Over 3.5 78.8% — — —

BTTS 20.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 85%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)5.2 xG (away)0.2 BTTS prob20.7%

H 99% / xG 5.2-0.2 / O2.5 91% / NoBTTS 21%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 13.9%

#2 4–0 13.4%

#3 3–0 10.3%

#4 2–0 6.0%

#5 5–1 3.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shkendija5.2

Shkupi0.2

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 90.6% · O3.5 PROB 78.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SHKENDIJA · PPG 2.23

SHKUPI · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Shkendija (H) 98.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 1.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shkupi (A) 0.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shkendija face Shkupi on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shkendija a 99% chance, the draw 1% and Shkupi 0%, so Shkendija are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.2 for Shkendija and 0.2 for Shkupi (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 91% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 21% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shkendija are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 0.00 for Shkupi.

Shkendija vs Shkupi Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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