1. Lig
● LOW SAMPLE
FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 38 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
44.7%
1X2
17/38
50.0%
O/U 2.5
19/38
55.3%
BTTS
21/38
50.0%
Exact score
19/38
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
9
Settled
33.3%
Hit rate
3/9
1.75
Avg odds
-50.8%
ROI
-4.6u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=4 25.0% HIT · AVG 1.81 · -57.5% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.57 · -65.7% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.90 · -15.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
4
Bets
50%
Hit
-15.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
4
Bets
25%
Hit
-74.3%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
September 2026 // 4 PICKS · 2 HIT · 2 MISS
3 SEPT Iğdır FK vs Manisa F.K. BTTS -12% 4–2 HIT3 SEPT Bodrum FK vs Esenler Erokspor — NO PICK 0–0 —2 SEPT Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor BTTS -10% 1–1 HIT1 SEPT Boluspor vs Keçiörengücü Over 2.5 -0% 0–2 MISS1 SEPT Sarıyer vs Pendikspor Over 2.5 +16% 2–0 MISSAugust 2026 // 7 PICKS · 4 HIT · 3 MISS
30 AUG Esenler Erokspor vs Iğdır FK Home -13% 0–1 MISS30 AUG Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK HO1.5 0–0 MISS28 AUG Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor BTTS -10% 1–1 HIT28 AUG Keçiörengücü vs Ümraniyespor HO1.5 2–2 HIT24 AUG Sivasspor vs Manisa F.K. BTTS -12% 2–2 HIT23 AUG Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü Over 2.5 +22% 1–1 MISS23 AUG Vanspor FK vs İstanbulspor BTTS -10% 3–2 HIT22 AUG Ümraniyespor vs Esenler Erokspor — NO PICK 1–1 —May 2026 // 2 PICKS · 1 HIT · 1 MISS
2 MAY Corum vs Erzurum BB BTTS -1% 1–1 HIT2 MAY Bodrumspor vs Sariyer Home -6% 0–1 MISS