Struga vs Tikves Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Macedonia - First League Monday, April 13, 2026 —

Struga PPG 2.00

VS PENDING

Tikves PPG 1.42

BTTS· +0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Struga face Tikves in Macedonia - First League on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Struga a 65% chance, the draw 20% and Tikves 15%, so Struga are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Struga and 0.9 for Tikves (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Struga are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.42 for Tikves. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +0.8%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 64.6%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -7.0%

Draw 20.1%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -15.6%

Away 15.2%

Odds: 5.50 EV: -16.4%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.9% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 34.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 51.7% Odds: 1.95 +0.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0

2nd 1-0

3rd 2-1

4th 1-1

5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Struga

2.07

Tikves

0.89

Model SuggestionHome -7.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -7.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: BTTS (+0.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -30.6%

Bet Hit 38% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.42)