Ghazl El M. face Wadi Degla in Egypt - Premier League on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ghazl El M. a 30% chance, the draw 33% and Wadi Degla 37%, so Wadi Degla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Ghazl El M. and 1.0 for Wadi Degla (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ghazl El M. are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.55 for Wadi Degla. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +31.8%.
Based on 54 resolved predictions
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.25) vs Away GOOD (1.55)