Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction— Poland - Ekstraklasa

Match Preview & Prediction

Piast Gliwice face Pogon Szczecin in Poland - Ekstraklasa on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Piast Gliwice a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Pogon Szczecin 21%, so Piast Gliwice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Piast Gliwice and 1.0 for Pogon Szczecin (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Piast Gliwice are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.62 for Pogon Szczecin. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +22.9%.