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Al Bukayriyah vs Al Anwar Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Regular Season - 29 ·Monday, April 13, 2026

Al Bukayriyah

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Anwar

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-110.9%0-26.3%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.4%1-113.1%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.9%2-17.9%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.8%3-13.2%3-21.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.5% 32.3% 3.10 +16.3%

Draw 27.9% 32.3% 3.10 -13.5%

Away win 34.6% 44.4% 2.25 -22.1%

Over 2.5 41.9% 47.6% 2.10 -12.0%

Over 3.5 21.2% 27.0% 3.70 -21.6%

BTTS 47.9% 56.5% 1.77 -15.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.9%

H 38% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 1–0 11.4%

#3 0–1 10.9%

#4 0–0 9.5%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Bukayriyah1.2

Al Anwar1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.9% · O3.5 PROB 21.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AL BUKAYRIYAH · PPG 1.36

AL ANWAR · PPG 0.92

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.36) > Away POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Al Bukayriyah (H) 37.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +16.3%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -13.5%

Al Anwar (A) 34.6%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -22.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Bukayriyah face Al Anwar in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Bukayriyah a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Al Anwar 35%, so Al Bukayriyah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Al Bukayriyah and 1.1 for Al Anwar (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Bukayriyah are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 0.92 for Al Anwar. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +16.3%.

Al Bukayriyah vs Al Anwar Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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