Today / Egypt - Premier League / El Geish vs Petrojet

El Geish vs Petrojet Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Relegation Group - 4 ·Monday, April 13, 2026

El Geish

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Petrojet

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-19.5%0-26.8%0-33.3%0-4+1.6%1 1-08.5%1-112.2%1-28.7%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.4%2-17.8%2-25.6%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.3%3-13.3%3-22.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.4%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.5% 39.7% 2.52 -15.6%

Draw 25.7% 35.7% 2.80 -28.0%

Away win 40.8% 33.3% 3.00 +22.4%

Over 2.5 50.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 54.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.9%

A 41% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 0–1 9.5%

#3 1–2 8.7%

#4 1–0 8.5%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

El Geish1.3

Petrojet1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

EL GEISH · PPG 1.36

PETROJET · PPG 1.08

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

El Geish (H) 33.5%

ODDS 2.52 · IMPLIED 39.7% EV -15.6%

Draw 25.7%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -28.0%

Petrojet (A) 40.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +22.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

El Geish face Petrojet in Egypt - Premier League on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives El Geish a 34% chance, the draw 26% and Petrojet 41%, so Petrojet are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for El Geish and 1.4 for Petrojet (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, El Geish are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.08 for Petrojet. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +22.4%.

El Geish vs Petrojet Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Premier League Predictions