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Sivasspor vs Istanbulspor Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Monday, April 13, 2026
Sivasspor PPG 1.65
VS PENDING
Istanbulspor PPG 1.24
Home· -3.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sivasspor face Istanbulspor in Turkey - 1. Lig on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sivasspor a 57% chance, the draw 25% and Istanbulspor 18%, so Sivasspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sivasspor and 0.8 for Istanbulspor (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sivasspor are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 1.24 for Istanbulspor.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.8%
Odds: 1.70 EV: -3.4%
Draw 25.3%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -7.7%
Away 17.9%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -24.8%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.9% Odds: 1.65 -32.5%
Over 3.5 20.5% Odds: 2.60 -46.7%
BTTS 41.8% Odds: 1.57 -34.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Sivasspor
1.57
Istanbulspor
0.75

Model Suggestion

Home -3.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -3.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 52%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 48%
ROI -82.8%
Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.65) > Away AVERAGE (1.24)

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