Today / Turkey - Süper Lig / Eyupspor vs Samsunspor

Eyupspor vs Samsunspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Monday, April 13, 2026

Eyupspor

PPG 0.93 · HOME

UPCOMING

Samsunspor

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-112.9%0-28.9%0-34.1%0-4+1.9%1 1-09.3%1-112.8%1-28.8%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-04.6%2-16.3%2-24.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.5%3-12.1%3-21.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.1% 23.8% 4.20 +13.8%

Draw 27.2% 29.0% 3.45 -6.2%

Away win 45.7% 54.3% 1.84 -15.9%

Over 2.5 42.2% 50.0% 2.00 -15.6%

Over 3.5 21.5% 28.6% 3.50 -24.8%

BTTS 47.0% 55.6% 1.80 -15.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 7.1%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob47.0%

A 46% / xG 1.0-1.4 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 12.9%

#2 1–1 12.8%

#3 0–0 9.4%

#4 1–0 9.3%

#5 0–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eyupspor1.0

Samsunspor1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.2% · O3.5 PROB 21.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EYUPSPOR · PPG 0.93

SAMSUNSPOR · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

Eyupspor (H) 27.1%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +13.8%

Draw 27.2%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -6.2%

Samsunspor (A) 45.7%

ODDS 1.84 · IMPLIED 54.3% EV -15.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eyupspor face Samsunspor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eyupspor a 27% chance, the draw 27% and Samsunspor 46%, so Samsunspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Eyupspor and 1.4 for Samsunspor (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eyupspor are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.21 for Samsunspor. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.8%.

Eyupspor vs Samsunspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

More Turkey - Süper Lig Predictions