Superliga
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
Upcoming Superliga predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
3 SEPT18:00 FC Copenhagen vs FC Nordsjaelland Over 2.5 64% 1.50 -4%4 SEPT17:00 Viborg vs Lyngby Over 2.5 60% 1.55 -8%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 56 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
57.1%
1X2
32/56
58.9%
O/U 2.5
33/56
51.8%
BTTS
29/56
37.5%
Exact score
21/56
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
13
Settled
61.5%
Hit rate
8/13
1.61
Avg odds
-4.0%
ROI
-0.5u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=10 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.59 · -7.6% ROI
BTTS · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.72 · -16.5% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.57 · +57.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
9
Bets
67%
Hit
+5.1%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
3
Bets
67%
Hit
+0.7%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
September 2026 // 1 PICK · 0 HIT · 1 MISS
2 SEPT Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland BTTS -12% 0–2 MISSAugust 2026 // 14 PICKS · 7 HIT · 7 MISS
31 AUG FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske HO1.5 3–1 HIT30 AUG Silkeborg vs FC Midtjylland Over 2.5 -21% 1–1 MISS30 AUG Randers FC vs Aarhus BTTS -14% 2–1 HIT30 AUG FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby BTTS -21% 3–1 HIT24 AUG Brondby vs Silkeborg Home -21% 3–1 HIT23 AUG Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland BTTS -24% 0–3 MISS23 AUG FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC HO1.5 1–0 MISS23 AUG Aarhus vs Odense Over 2.5 -10% 2–2 HIT23 AUG Viborg vs FC Copenhagen BTTS -13% 4–0 MISS17 AUG Brondby vs Sonderjyske Home -26% 3–2 HIT16 AUG FC Nordsjaelland vs Silkeborg HO1.5 1–0 MISS16 AUG Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen BTTS -14% 0–4 MISS14 AUG Viborg vs Aarhus BTTS -19% 2–1 HIT10 AUG Silkeborg vs Odense BTTS -25% 1–0 MISS