Superliga
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 36 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
50.0%
1X2
18/36
63.9%
O/U 2.5
23/36
58.3%
BTTS
21/36
36.1%
Exact score
13/36
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
34
Settled
58.8%
Hit rate
20/34
1.54
Avg odds
-9.7%
ROI
-3.3u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=20 65.0% HIT · AVG 1.54 · -0.3% ROI
BTTS · N=13 46.2% HIT · AVG 1.53 · -29.1% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.57 · +57.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
5
Bets
80%
Hit
+20.8%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
12
Bets
58%
Hit
-9.4%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
17
Bets
53%
Hit
-18.8%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 15 PICKS · 8 HIT · 7 MISS
17 MAY FC Kobenhavn vs Randers FC Over 2.5 -8% 5–0 HIT17 MAY Odense BK vs Vejle BK Over 2.5 -9% 0–1 MISS17 MAY Fredericia vs Silkeborg Over 2.5 -5% 4–1 HIT17 MAY AGF Aarhus vs Viborg Over 2.5 -15% 6–2 HIT17 MAY SonderjyskE vs Nordsjaelland BTTS -13% 1–4 HIT17 MAY FC Midtjylland vs Brondby IF Over 2.5 -17% 2–3 HIT11 MAY Randers FC vs Odense BK Over 2.5 -2% 2–2 HIT10 MAY Vejle BK vs Fredericia BTTS -8% 2–0 MISS10 MAY Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland Over 2.5 -10% 0–0 MISS10 MAY Silkeborg vs FC Kobenhavn BTTS -11% 0–4 MISS10 MAY Brondby IF vs AGF Aarhus BTTS -18% 0–2 MISS8 MAY Viborg vs SonderjyskE Over 2.5 -15% 0–1 MISS4 MAY FC Midtjylland vs Viborg Over 2.5 -4% 3–3 HIT3 MAY Odense BK vs Silkeborg Over 2.5 +2% 2–3 HIT3 MAY Randers FC vs Vejle BK BTTS +1% 1–0 MISS