Defensa y J. face T. de Cordoba in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Defensa y J. a 57% chance, the draw 23% and T. de Cordoba 20%, so Defensa y J. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Defensa y J. and 0.9 for T. de Cordoba (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Defensa y J. are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.33 for T. de Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +63.9%.
Based on 29 resolved predictions
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.33)