Leagues / ITALY / Serie C - Girone A
Serie C - Girone A
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 31 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
51.6%
1X2
16/31
61.3%
O/U 2.5
19/31
58.1%
BTTS
18/31
58.1%
Exact score
18/31
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
11
Settled
63.6%
Hit rate
7/11
1.88
Avg odds
+17.7%
ROI
+1.9u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=9 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.86 · +22.2% ROI
BTTS · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.98 · -2.5% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
100%
Hit
+76.7%
ROI
✓ Solid
2
Bets
100%
Hit
+131.5%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
4
Bets
25%
Hit
-58.3%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-32.5%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 4 PICKS · 1 HIT · 3 MISS
31 AUG Renate vs Cittadella — NO PICK 0–1 —31 AUG Albinoleffe vs Ospitaletto — NO PICK 1–1 —30 AUG Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Alcione — NO PICK 0–0 —30 AUG Arzignano Valchiampo vs PRO Vercelli — NO PICK 1–0 —30 AUG Pergolettese vs Union Brescia — NO PICK 0–1 —30 AUG Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio — NO PICK 1–0 —22 AUG Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane BTTS -4% 2–0 MISS22 AUG Cittadella vs Pergolettese BTTS +6% 2–0 MISS22 AUG Giana Erminio vs Albinoleffe BTTS -2% 1–2 HIT22 AUG Lecco vs Arzignano Valchiampo BTTS -2% 0–0 MISS21 AUG Alcione vs Renate — NO PICK 3–1 —