Leagues / ITALY / Serie C - Girone A
Serie C - Girone A
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 20 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
50.0%
1X2
10/20
55.0%
O/U 2.5
11/20
60.0%
BTTS
12/20
50.0%
Exact score
10/20
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
12
Settled
58.3%
Hit rate
7/12
1.85
Avg odds
+7.9%
ROI
+0.9u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=10 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.85 · +10.0% ROI
BTTS · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.84 · -2.5% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
100%
Hit
+76.7%
ROI
✓ Solid
2
Bets
100%
Hit
+131.5%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
4
Bets
25%
Hit
-58.3%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
3
Bets
33%
Hit
-55.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
April 2026 // 9 PICKS · 5 HIT · 4 MISS
25 APR Triestina vs Vicenza — NO PICK 1–6 —25 APR Renate vs Pro Patria Home +16% 2–1 HIT25 APR Alcione vs AlbinoLeffe Home +51% 2–1 HIT25 APR Arzignano vs Pro Vercelli Home +7% 3–0 HIT25 APR Cittadella vs Giana Erminio Home +24% 0–2 MISS25 APR D. Bellunesi vs Trento BTTS -1% 0–0 MISS25 APR Inter U23 vs Union Brescia — NO PICK 0–1 —25 APR Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona Home +31% 4–1 HIT25 APR Ospitaletto vs Novara Home +17% 0–2 MISS25 APR Pergolettese vs Lecco — NO PICK 3–0 —19 APR Virtus Verona vs Alcione — NO PICK 1–1 —19 APR AlbinoLeffe vs Triestina Home +18% 3–0 HIT19 APR Giana Erminio vs Inter U23 — NO PICK 2–0 —19 APR Lecco vs Lumezzane Home -8% 0–0 MISS19 APR Novara vs Cittadella — NO PICK 0–1 —