| Grade | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | 2 | 100.0% | +10750.0% |
| F | 6 | 66.7% | +2833.0% |
| Unrated | 2 | 50.0% | −3250.0% |
| Market | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9 | 66.7% | +2222.0% |
| Away | 1 | 100.0% | +12000.0% |
| Verdict | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @18% | 1 | 100.0% | +9500.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity | Best EV: Over2.5 @14% | 1 | 100.0% | +12000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @6% | 1 | 100.0% | +3500.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value | Best EV: Home @51% | 1 | 100.0% | +18000.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | Best EV: Over2.5 @12% | 1 | 100.0% | +6700.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @24% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value | Best EV: Home @31% | 1 | 100.0% | +8300.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @17% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @16% | 1 | 100.0% | +4000.0% |
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Triestina vs Vicenza | — | — | 1-6 | — |
| 25 Apr | Renate vs Pro Patria | Home | 16% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Alcione vs AlbinoLeffe | Home | 51% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Arzignano vs Pro Vercelli | Home | 7% EV | 3-0 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Cittadella vs Giana Erminio | Home | 24% EV | 0-2 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | D. Bellunesi vs Trento | BTTS | -1% EV | 0-0 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Inter U23 vs Union Brescia | — | — | 0-1 | — |
| 25 Apr | Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona | Home | 31% EV | 4-1 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Ospitaletto vs Novara | Home | 17% EV | 0-2 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Pergolettese vs Lecco | — | — | 3-0 | — |
| 19 Apr | Virtus Verona vs Alcione | — | — | 1-1 | — |
| 19 Apr | Lecco vs Lumezzane | Home | -8% EV | 0-0 | MISS |
| 19 Apr | AlbinoLeffe vs Triestina | Home | 18% EV | 3-0 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Giana Erminio vs Inter U23 | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| 19 Apr | Novara vs Cittadella | — | — | 0-1 | — |
| 19 Apr | Pro Patria vs Arzignano | BTTS | 3% EV | 2-3 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Pro Vercelli vs Ospitaletto | — | — | 1-0 | — |
| 19 Apr | Trento vs Renate | — | — | 3-3 | — |
| 19 Apr | Union Brescia vs D. Bellunesi | Home | 6% EV | 2-0 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Vicenza vs Pergolettese | Home | 5% EV | 0-0 | MISS |