Rodez Aveyron vs Troyes Prediction— France - Ligue 2

France - Ligue 2 Monday, April 13, 2026 —

Rodez Aveyron PPG 1.57

VS PENDING

Troyes PPG 1.50

Home· +19.6% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Rodez Aveyron face Troyes in France - Ligue 2 on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rodez Aveyron a 34% chance, the draw 26% and Troyes 41%, so Troyes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Rodez Aveyron and 1.4 for Troyes (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rodez Aveyron are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.50 for Troyes. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +19.6%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.7%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +19.6%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -9.7%

Away 40.5%

Odds: 2.00 EV: -19.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.2% Odds: 1.67 -16.2%

Over 3.5 28.2% Odds: 2.65 -25.3%

BTTS 54.4% Odds: 1.55 -15.7%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-1

3rd 1-0

4th 1-2

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Rodez Aveyron

1.27

Troyes

1.41

Model SuggestionBTTS -15.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+19.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 66%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -12.0%

Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away GOOD (1.50)