Leagues / SPAIN / Segunda División
Segunda División
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 70 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
55.7%
1X2
39/70
55.7%
O/U 2.5
39/70
55.7%
BTTS
39/70
54.3%
Exact score
38/70
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
48
Settled
66.7%
Hit rate
32/48
1.66
Avg odds
+9.7%
ROI
+4.7u
Picks by market
BTTS · N=30 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.70 · -0.2% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=11 81.8% HIT · AVG 1.63 · +33.5% ROI
HOME WIN · N=7 71.4% HIT · AVG 1.53 · +14.6% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+65.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
3
Bets
100%
Hit
+54.7%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
6
Bets
83%
Hit
+33.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
38
Bets
61%
Hit
+1.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 11 PICKS · 6 HIT · 5 MISS
31 MAY Castellon vs Eibar — NO PICK 2–1 —31 MAY Burgos vs FC Andorra — NO PICK 1–0 —31 MAY Real Zaragoza vs Malaga BTTS -5% 0–2 MISS31 MAY Deportivo vs Las Palmas — NO PICK 1–2 —31 MAY Almeria vs Valladolid Over 2.5 -3% 1–0 MISS31 MAY Cordoba vs Huesca BTTS -11% 1–1 HIT31 MAY Leganes vs Mirandes BTTS -14% 1–0 MISS30 MAY Real Sociedad B vs Leonesa BTTS -14% 1–1 HIT30 MAY Ceuta vs Albacete BTTS -13% 1–0 MISS30 MAY Granada vs Sporting Gijon BTTS -13% 1–2 HIT24 MAY Albacete vs Real Sociedad B BTTS -15% 3–1 HIT24 MAY FC Andorra vs Ceuta Over 2.5 0–2 MISS24 MAY Cadiz vs Leganes — NO PICK 3–0 —24 MAY Sporting Gijon vs Almeria Over 2.5 -6% 3–1 HIT24 MAY Mirandes vs Granada BTTS -9% 3–1 HIT