Spain - La Liga

71 matches 70 resolved 13 Apr 2026 – 24 May 2026

ROI −1985.0%

Accuracy

1X2 36/70 correct

O2.5/Under 42/70 correct

BTTS/No 45/70 correct

Score 39/70 correct

Track Record

26 Settled Bets

11 Winning Bets

42.3% Hit Rate

−1985.0% ROI

2.00 Avg Odds

By Grade

Grade	Bets	Hit%	ROI
A	2	0.0%	−10000.0%
B	2	50.0%	−250.0%
C	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
D	3	0.0%	−10000.0%
F	16	50.0%	−200.0%
Unrated	2	100.0%	+6050.0%

By Market

Market	Bets	Hit%	ROI
Home	15	46.7%	−1413.0%
Over2.5	4	50.0%	−425.0%
Away	4	25.0%	−4550.0%
BTTS	3	33.3%	−3500.0%

By Verdict

Verdict	Bets	Hit%	ROI
✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value \| Best EV: Over2.5 @11%	2	50.0%	−250.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage \| Best EV: Home @9%	2	0.0%	−10000.0%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned \| Best EV: Home @51%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
✓ SOLID - Strong home form \| Best EV: Over2.5 @10%	1	100.0%	+2500.0%
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage \| Best EV: Over2.5 @22%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form \| Best EV: Over2.5 @6%	1	100.0%	+2100.0%
✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity \| Best EV: Over2.5 @33%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage \| No clear value	1	100.0%	+10000.0%
⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away \| Best EV: Away @21%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned \| Best EV: Home @24%	1	100.0%	+11400.0%
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage \| Best EV: Home @19%	1	100.0%	+10800.0%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned \| Best EV: Home @57%	1	100.0%	+9500.0%
✓ SOLID - Strong home form \| Best EV: Over2.5 @18%	1	100.0%	+10000.0%
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage \| Best EV: Home @10%	1	100.0%	+8300.0%
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage \| Best EV: Over2.5 @18%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form \| No clear value	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned \| Best EV: Home @9%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned \| Best EV: Home @19%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity \| Best EV: Away @22%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
✓ SOLID - Strong home form \| Best EV: Over2.5 @12%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away \| Best EV: Away @15%	1	100.0%	+11800.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value \| Best EV: Away @9%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned \| Best EV: Home @16%	1	100.0%	+12500.0%
🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity \| Best EV: Away @14%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%

All Resolved Matches (70)

Date	Match	Pick	Odds	Result	Hit
24 May	Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid	BTTS	-16% EV	5-1	HIT
23 May	Mallorca vs Real Oviedo	Home	-24% EV	3-0	HIT
23 May	Girona vs Elche	BTTS	-15% EV	1-1	HIT
23 May	Getafe vs Osasuna	—	—	1-0	—
23 May	Espanyol vs Real Sociedad	BTTS	-13% EV	1-1	HIT
23 May	Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano	—	—	1-2	—
23 May	Valencia vs FC Barcelona	Away	14% EV	3-1	MISS
23 May	Celta Vigo vs Sevilla FC	BTTS	1% EV	1-0	MISS
23 May	Real Betis vs Levante	Over 2.5	-11% EV	2-1	HIT
23 May	Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao	Home	-12% EV	4-2	HIT
17 May	Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo	BTTS	-6% EV	1-1	HIT
17 May	Osasuna vs Espanyol	BTTS	3% EV	1-2	HIT
17 May	Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal	BTTS	-19% EV	2-0	MISS
17 May	Real Oviedo vs Alaves	—	—	0-1	—
17 May	Real Sociedad vs Valencia	BTTS	-10% EV	3-4	HIT
17 May	Sevilla FC vs Real Madrid	Over 2.5	-2% EV	0-1	MISS
17 May	Levante vs Mallorca	BTTS	-9% EV	2-0	MISS
17 May	Elche vs Getafe	—	—	1-0	—
17 May	Atletico Madrid vs Girona	Home	-7% EV	1-0	HIT
17 May	FC Barcelona vs Real Betis	Over 2.5	-17% EV	3-1	HIT
14 May	Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano	—	—	1-1	—
14 May	Girona vs Real Sociedad	BTTS	-10% EV	1-1	HIT
14 May	Real Madrid vs Real Oviedo	Home	-14% EV	2-0	HIT
13 May	Villarreal vs Sevilla FC	Over 2.5	5% EV	2-3	HIT
13 May	Espanyol vs Athletic Bilbao	BTTS	-5% EV	2-0	MISS
13 May	Getafe vs Mallorca	—	—	3-1	—
13 May	Alaves vs FC Barcelona	Away	22% EV	1-0	MISS
12 May	Celta Vigo vs Levante	BTTS	-6% EV	2-3	HIT
12 May	Real Betis vs Elche	Over 2.5	-2% EV	2-1	HIT
12 May	Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid	BTTS	-13% EV	1-2	HIT
11 May	Rayo Vallecano vs Girona	BTTS	-19% EV	1-1	HIT
10 May	Mallorca vs Villarreal	BTTS	-11% EV	1-1	HIT
10 May	Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia	BTTS	-4% EV	0-1	MISS
10 May	Real Oviedo vs Getafe	—	—	0-0	—
10 May	FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid	Over 2.5	-26% EV	2-0	MISS
9 May	Elche vs Alaves	BTTS	-6% EV	1-1	HIT
9 May	Sevilla FC vs Espanyol	BTTS	6% EV	2-1	HIT
9 May	Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo	BTTS	-14% EV	0-1	MISS
9 May	Real Sociedad vs Real Betis	Over 2.5	-4% EV	2-2	HIT
8 May	Levante vs Osasuna	BTTS	-11% EV	3-2	HIT
4 May	Sevilla FC vs Real Sociedad	BTTS	8% EV	1-0	MISS
3 May	Celta Vigo vs Elche	BTTS	-3% EV	3-1	HIT
3 May	Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano	—	—	0-2	—
3 May	Real Betis vs Real Oviedo	Home	-14% EV	3-0	HIT
3 May	Espanyol vs Real Madrid	BTTS	-14% EV	0-2	MISS
2 May	Villarreal vs Levante	Home	-4% EV	5-1	HIT
2 May	Valencia vs Atletico Madrid	BTTS	-5% EV	0-2	MISS
2 May	Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao	BTTS	-6% EV	2-4	HIT
2 May	Osasuna vs FC Barcelona	BTTS	-7% EV	1-2	HIT
1 May	Girona vs Mallorca	BTTS	-7% EV	0-1	MISS
27 Apr	Espanyol vs Levante	Over 2.5	18% EV	0-0	MISS
26 Apr	Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad	BTTS	-2% EV	3-3	HIT
26 Apr	Real Oviedo vs Elche	BTTS	-5% EV	1-2	HIT
26 Apr	Osasuna vs Sevilla FC	Over 2.5	18% EV	2-1	HIT
26 Apr	Villarreal vs Celta Vigo	Over 2.5	8% EV	2-1	HIT
25 Apr	Alaves vs Mallorca	Home	24% EV	2-1	HIT
25 Apr	Getafe vs FC Barcelona	Away	-15% EV	0-2	HIT
25 Apr	Valencia vs Girona	Home	19% EV	2-1	HIT
25 Apr	Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao	Home	57% EV	3-2	HIT
24 Apr	Real Betis vs Real Madrid	BTTS	-9% EV	1-1	HIT
23 Apr	Levante vs Sevilla FC	Over 2.5	33% EV	2-0	MISS
23 Apr	Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol	Home	4% EV	1-0	HIT
23 Apr	Real Oviedo vs Villarreal	Away	21% EV	1-1	MISS
22 Apr	Elche vs Atletico Madrid	BTTS	-9% EV	3-2	HIT
22 Apr	Real Sociedad vs Getafe	Home	21% EV	0-1	MISS
22 Apr	FC Barcelona vs Celta Vigo	Home	4% EV	1-0	HIT
21 Apr	Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna	—	—	1-0	—
21 Apr	Mallorca vs Valencia	Home	51% EV	1-1	MISS
21 Apr	Real Madrid vs Alaves	Home	9% EV	2-1	HIT
21 Apr	Girona vs Real Betis	BTTS	-8% EV	2-3	HIT