Today / Milan U20 vs Atalanta U20
Milan U20 vs Atalanta U20 Prediction
Regular Season - 33 ·Monday, April 13, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 46% / xG 1.9-1.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 67%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%
Form & verdict
MILAN U20 · PPG 1.31
ATALANTA U20 · PPG 1.38
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.31), Away AVERAGE (1.38)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Milan U20 face Atalanta U20 on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Milan U20 a 46% chance, the draw 22% and Atalanta U20 32%, so Milan U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Milan U20 and 1.6 for Atalanta U20 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Milan U20 are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.38 for Atalanta U20.