Leagues / RUSSIA / Premier League
Premier League
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 48 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
45.8%
1X2
22/48
54.2%
O/U 2.5
26/48
54.2%
BTTS
26/48
66.7%
Exact score
32/48
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
37
Settled
64.9%
Hit rate
24/37
1.72
Avg odds
+5.7%
ROI
+2.1u
Picks by market
BTTS · N=15 73.3% HIT · AVG 1.73 · +27.2% ROI
HOME WIN · N=15 53.3% HIT · AVG 1.73 · -19.9% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.80 · -13.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=3 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.51 · +51.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
9
Bets
67%
Hit
-5.1%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
9
Bets
89%
Hit
+55.3%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
16
Bets
63%
Hit
+3.7%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 11 PICKS · 8 HIT · 3 MISS
17 MAY Baltika vs Dinamo Moscow — NO PICK 1–2 —17 MAY Rubin Kazan vs Nizhny Novgorod Home +14% 2–2 MISS17 MAY Rostov vs Zenit Away -31% 0–1 HIT17 MAY PFC Sochi vs Akhmat Grozny Over 2.5 -0% 1–1 MISS17 MAY Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow — NO PICK 0–0 —17 MAY Krylya Sovetov vs Akron BTTS -8% 4–1 HIT17 MAY FC Krasnodar vs Orenburg Home -16% 3–0 HIT17 MAY CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv M. BTTS -2% 3–1 HIT11 MAY Akron vs Rostov — NO PICK 1–3 —11 MAY Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow BTTS -14% 1–2 HIT11 MAY Spartak Moscow vs Rubin Kazan BTTS +2% 2–1 HIT11 MAY Dinamo Moscow vs FC Krasnodar Over 2.5 -1% 2–1 HIT10 MAY Orenburg vs Krylya Sovetov BTTS -10% 1–0 MISS10 MAY Zenit vs PFC Sochi Home -21% 2–1 HIT10 MAY Akhmat Grozny vs Makhachkala — NO PICK 1–1 —