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Rizespor vs Gaziantep Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Turkey - Süper Lig Monday, April 13, 2026
Rizespor PPG 1.43
VS PENDING
Gaziantep PPG 1.21
Over3.5· +20.9% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Rizespor face Gaziantep in Turkey - Süper Lig on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rizespor a 53% chance, the draw 21% and Gaziantep 26%, so Rizespor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Rizespor and 1.4 for Gaziantep (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rizespor are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.21 for Gaziantep. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +20.9%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.7%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -8.8%
Draw 21.1%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -19.8%
Away 26.1%
Odds: 4.40 EV: +14.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.1% Odds: 1.65 +12.4%
Over 3.5 46.5% Odds: 2.60 +20.9%
BTTS 66.5% Odds: 1.60 +6.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-2
4th 2-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Rizespor
2.08
Gaziantep
1.42

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +12.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+20.9%)

League Track Record

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 61%
Score Hit 44%
ROI 20.3%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.43), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

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