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Fredericia vs Vejle BK Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Monday, April 13, 2026

Fredericia

PPG 0.92 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vejle BK

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.3% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-16.6%0-24.3%0-31.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-08.5%1-111.1%1-27.3%1-33.2%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.1%2-19.3%2-26.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.0%3-15.2%3-23.4%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.2%4+-22.1%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.0% 43.5% 2.30 +5.8%

Draw 23.9% 27.8% 3.60 -14.0%

Away win 30.0% 35.7% 2.80 -16.0%

Over 2.5 57.3% 60.6% 1.65 -5.5%

Over 3.5 34.9% 38.5% 2.60 -9.3%

BTTS 59.3% 66.7% 1.50 -11.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -9.7%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob59.3%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 8.5%

#4 1–2 7.3%

#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fredericia1.7

Vejle BK1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FREDERICIA · PPG 0.92

VEJLE BK · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.92) > Away POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Fredericia (H) 46.0%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +5.8%

Draw 23.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -14.0%

Vejle BK (A) 30.0%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -16.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fredericia face Vejle BK in Denmark - Superliga on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fredericia a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Vejle BK 30%, so Fredericia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Fredericia and 1.3 for Vejle BK (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fredericia are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 0.33 for Vejle BK. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.8%.

Fredericia vs Vejle BK Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Denmark - Superliga Predictions