LKS Lodz vs Pogon Grodzisk Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Poland - I Liga Monday, April 13, 2026 —

LKS Lodz PPG 1.62

VS PENDING

Pogon Grodzisk PPG 1.15

Away· -3.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

LKS Lodz face Pogon Grodzisk in Poland - I Liga on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LKS Lodz a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Pogon Grodzisk 24%, so LKS Lodz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for LKS Lodz and 1.2 for Pogon Grodzisk (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LKS Lodz are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.15 for Pogon Grodzisk.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.7%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -10.4%

Draw 23.1%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -12.2%

Away 24.2%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -3.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.9% Odds: 1.62 -7.8%

Over 3.5 34.5% Odds: 2.50 -13.8%

BTTS 57.3% Odds: 1.57 -10.0%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-0

4th 2-0

5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

LKS Lodz

1.81

Pogon Grodzisk

1.15

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.62) > Away AVERAGE (1.15)