Al Arabi vs Al Sailiya Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Qatar - Stars League Monday, April 13, 2026 —

Al Arabi PPG 1.50

VS PENDING

Al Sailiya PPG 0.67

Away· -4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Arabi face Al Sailiya in Qatar - Stars League on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Arabi a 58% chance, the draw 23% and Al Sailiya 19%, so Al Arabi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Al Arabi and 0.9 for Al Sailiya (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Arabi are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.67 for Al Sailiya.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.6%

Odds: 1.57 EV: -9.6%

Draw 23.2%

Odds: 3.95 EV: -8.4%

Away 19.2%

Odds: 5.00 EV: -4.0%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.4% Odds: 1.53 -22.9%

Over 3.5 28.3% Odds: 2.30 -34.9%

BTTS 49.8% Odds: 1.50 -25.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0

2nd 1-1

3rd 2-0

4th 2-1

5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Arabi

1.77

Al Sailiya

0.92

Model SuggestionHome -9.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -9.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 83%

O2.5/Under 83%

BTTS/No 83%

Score Hit 50%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=57.6%