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AF Elbasani vs Partizani T. Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Albania - Superliga Monday, April 13, 2026
AF Elbasani PPG 2.00
VS PENDING
Partizani T. PPG 1.47
Home· +21.7% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

AF Elbasani face Partizani T. in Albania - Superliga on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AF Elbasani a 62% chance, the draw 20% and Partizani T. 18%, so AF Elbasani are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for AF Elbasani and 1.1 for Partizani T. (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AF Elbasani are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.47 for Partizani T.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +21.7%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.4%
Odds: 1.95 EV: +21.7%
Draw 19.8%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -40.6%
Away 17.8%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -34.1%
Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.1% Odds: —
Over 3.5 41.0% Odds: —
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 2.05 +19.9%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

AF Elbasani
2.18
Partizani T.
1.08

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%
O2.5/Under 40%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 40%
ROI -61.7%
Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)

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