Ligue 2

FRANCE · 37 MATCHES TRACKED · 13 APR 2026 – 9 MAY 2026

▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE

MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 35 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

42.9%

1X2

15/35

65.7%

O/U 2.5

23/35

60.0%

BTTS

21/35

40.0%

Exact score

14/35

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

72.0%

Hit rate

18/25

1.77

Avg odds

+24.9%

ROI

+6.2u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

BTTS · N=12 83.3% HIT · AVG 1.67 · +40.0% ROI

HOME WIN · N=10 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.83 · +4.5% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 2.33 · +32.5% ROI

OVER 2.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.33 · +33.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Solid

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

80%

Hit

+56.8%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

74%

Hit

+23.1%

ROI

Match log

35 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

May 2026 // 11 PICKS · 9 HIT · 2 MISS

9 MAY Annecy vs Rodez Aveyron BTTS -15% 1–2 HIT 9 MAY Saint-Etienne vs Amiens Over 2.5 -20% 5–0 HIT 9 MAY Reims vs Pau FC BTTS -8% 5–3 HIT 9 MAY Red Star vs Montpellier BTTS -12% 1–1 HIT 9 MAY Nancy vs USL Dunkerque BTTS -17% 3–2 HIT 9 MAY Laval vs Boulogne — NO PICK 2–1 —9 MAY Grenoble vs Troyes — NO PICK 1–0 —9 MAY Clermont vs Guingamp BTTS -18% 1–0 MISS 2 MAY Boulogne vs Annecy BTTS -2% 1–2 HIT 2 MAY USL Dunkerque vs Grenoble BTTS -12% 0–1 MISS 2 MAY Troyes vs Laval Home -13% 4–0 HIT 2 MAY Rodez Aveyron vs Saint-Etienne BTTS -21% 2–1 HIT 2 MAY Pau FC vs Nancy BTTS -5% 1–3 HIT 2 MAY Montpellier vs Clermont — NO PICK 1–2 —2 MAY Le Mans vs Reims — NO PICK 1–1 —