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Kisvarda vs Debrecen Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Hungary - NB I Monday, April 13, 2026
Kisvarda PPG 1.71
VS PENDING
Debrecen PPG 1.71
Away· -4.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Kisvarda face Debrecen in Hungary - NB I on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kisvarda a 31% chance, the draw 28% and Debrecen 41%, so Debrecen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kisvarda and 1.3 for Debrecen (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kisvarda are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.71 for Debrecen.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.4%
Odds: 2.75 EV: -13.7%
Draw 27.5%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -7.9%
Away 41.0%
Odds: 2.34 EV: -4.1%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.9% Odds: 1.85 -20.6%
Over 3.5 22.0% Odds: 3.20 -29.6%
BTTS 48.4% Odds: 1.67 -19.2%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Kisvarda
1.10
Debrecen
1.29

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 48%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away GOOD (1.71)

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