Today / Hungary - NB I / Kisvarda vs Debrecen

Kisvarda vs Debrecen Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Monday, April 13, 2026

Kisvarda

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Debrecen

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-111.8%0-27.7%0-33.3%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.0%1-113.0%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.5%2-17.1%2-24.6%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.0%3-12.6%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.4% 36.4% 2.75 -13.7%

Draw 27.5% 29.9% 3.35 -7.9%

Away win 41.0% 42.7% 2.34 -4.1%

Over 2.5 42.9% 54.1% 1.85 -20.6%

Over 3.5 22.0% 31.3% 3.20 -29.6%

BTTS 48.4% 59.9% 1.67 -19.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 2.2%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.4%

A 41% / xG 1.1-1.3 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–1 11.8%

#3 1–0 10.0%

#4 0–0 9.1%

#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kisvarda1.1

Debrecen1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.9% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KISVARDA · PPG 1.71

DEBRECEN · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away GOOD (1.71)

Win probability 1X2

Kisvarda (H) 31.4%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -13.7%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -7.9%

Debrecen (A) 41.0%

ODDS 2.34 · IMPLIED 42.7% EV -4.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kisvarda face Debrecen in Hungary - NB I on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kisvarda a 31% chance, the draw 28% and Debrecen 41%, so Debrecen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kisvarda and 1.3 for Debrecen (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kisvarda are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.71 for Debrecen.

Kisvarda vs Debrecen Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB I Predictions