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C. Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 Prediction— England - Premier League 2 Division One

England - Premier League 2 Division One Monday, April 13, 2026
C. Palace U21 PPG 1.67
VS PENDING
Arsenal U21 PPG 1.33
Home· +12.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

C. Palace U21 face Arsenal U21 in England - Premier League 2 Division One on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives C. Palace U21 a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Arsenal U21 22%, so C. Palace U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for C. Palace U21 and 1.0 for Arsenal U21 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, C. Palace U21 are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Arsenal U21. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +12.6%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.9%
Odds: 2.05 EV: +12.6%
Draw 23.4%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -15.8%
Away 21.7%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -41.4%
Model lean: Home

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 30.7% Odds: —
BTTS 53.1% Odds: 1.35 -28.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

C. Palace U21
1.77
Arsenal U21
1.02

Model Suggestion

Home +12.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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