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Al Jabalain vs Al Jubail Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Regular Season - 29 Prince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium Monday, April 13, 2026
Al Jabalain logo Al Jabalain PPG 1.93
VS PENDING
Al Jubail logo Al Jubail PPG 0.07
Over3.5· +31.3% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Jabalain face Al Jubail in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Jabalain a 86% chance, the draw 10% and Al Jubail 4%, so Al Jabalain are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Al Jabalain and 0.6 for Al Jubail (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Jabalain are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 0.07 for Al Jubail. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +31.3%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 86.2%
Odds: 1.44 EV: +24.1%
Draw 9.6%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -60.6%
Away 4.3%
Odds: 6.25 EV: -73.1%
Model lean: Home

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 72.2% Odds: 1.62 +17.0%
Over 3.5 51.5% Odds: 2.55 +31.3%
BTTS 43.7% Odds: 1.73 -24.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 4-0
4th 3-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Jabalain
3.14
Al Jubail
0.61

Model Suggestion

Home +24.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+31.3%)

League Track Record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 67%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 2.7%
Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.93), Away POOR (0.07) - Strong consensus

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org