Leagues / ITALY / Campionato Primavera - 1

Campionato Primavera - 1

ITALY · 57 MATCHES TRACKED · 13 APR 2026 – 4 SEPT 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 54 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

40.7%

1X2

22/54

55.6%

O/U 2.5

30/54

59.3%

BTTS

32/54

38.9%

Exact score

21/54

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

66.7%

Hit rate

2/3

1.72

Avg odds

+16.3%

ROI

+0.5u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

BTTS · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.75 · +74.5% ROI

OVER 2.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.67 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Solid

Bets

100%

Hit

+84.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

50%

Hit

-17.5%

ROI

Match log

54 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 10 HIT · 5 MISS

31 AUG Monza U20 vs Genoa U20 BTTS 0–1 MISS 31 AUG Fiorentina U20 vs Hellas Verona U20 BTTS 0–1 MISS 30 AUG Cagliari U20 vs Bologna U20 BTTS 1–3 HIT 30 AUG Atalanta U20 vs Roma U20 BTTS 1–3 HIT 30 AUG Torino U20 vs Lecce U20 BTTS 3–3 HIT 30 AUG Cesena U20 vs Milan U20 BTTS 1–1 HIT 28 AUG Parma U20 vs Sassuolo U20 BTTS 4–0 MISS 24 AUG Hellas Verona U20 vs Cesena U20 Over 2.5 +4% 0–1 MISS 24 AUG Milan U20 vs Torino U20 BTTS 3–2 HIT 23 AUG Bologna U20 vs Atalanta U20 BTTS -5% 4–2 HIT 23 AUG Genoa U20 vs Internazionale U20 BTTS 0–1 MISS 22 AUG Roma U20 vs Monza U20 BTTS 3–2 HIT 22 AUG Lecce U20 vs Lazio U20 BTTS -2% 1–2 HIT 22 AUG Juventus U20 vs Parma U20 BTTS 2–2 HIT 22 AUG Sassuolo U20 vs Fiorentina U20 BTTS +1% 1–1 HIT