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Erzurum BB vs Boluspor Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Monday, April 13, 2026
Erzurum BB PPG 2.29
VS PENDING
Boluspor PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +43.8% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Erzurum BB face Boluspor in Turkey - 1. Lig on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Erzurum BB a 87% chance, the draw 9% and Boluspor 4%, so Erzurum BB are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Erzurum BB and 0.7 for Boluspor (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Erzurum BB are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 1.00 for Boluspor. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +43.8%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 87.2%
Odds: 1.36 EV: +18.6%
Draw 8.7%
Odds: 4.40 EV: -61.7%
Away 4.1%
Odds: 7.00 EV: -71.3%
Model lean: Home

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 76.8% Odds: 1.62 +24.4%
Over 3.5 57.5% Odds: 2.50 +43.8%
BTTS 47.5% Odds: 1.80 -14.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 4-0
4th 3-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Erzurum BB
3.37
Boluspor
0.68

Model Suggestion

Home +18.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+43.8%)

League Track Record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 52%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 48%
ROI -82.8%
Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.29), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

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