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Penarol vs Liverpool M. Prediction

Unknown League Monday, April 13, 2026
Penarol PPG 2.00
VS PENDING
Liverpool M. PPG 1.60
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Penarol face Liverpool M. on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Penarol a 68% chance, the draw 17% and Liverpool M. 16%, so Penarol are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Penarol and 1.2 for Liverpool M. (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Penarol are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.60 for Liverpool M..

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.6%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 16.9%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 15.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.1% Odds: —
Over 3.5 52.6% Odds: —
BTTS 64.5% Odds: —

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Penarol
2.60
Liverpool M.
1.19

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.60)

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