Penarol face Liverpool M. on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Penarol a 68% chance, the draw 17% and Liverpool M. 16%, so Penarol are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Penarol and 1.2 for Liverpool M. (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Penarol are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.60 for Liverpool M..
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.60)