Leagues / ARGENTINA / Liga Profesional Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina

ARGENTINA · 140 MATCHES TRACKED · 13 APR 2026 – 4 SEPT 2026

▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE

SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE

Upcoming Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

3 FIXTURES WITH ODDS · MODEL PICK, PROBABILITY AND EV PER MATCH

DateMatchPickProbOddsEV

4 SEPT19:45 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin — NO PICK — — —4 SEPT22:00 Platense vs Deportivo Riestra — NO PICK — — —4 SEPT22:00 Belgrano Cordoba vs Huracan — NO PICK — — —

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 134 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

41.0%

1X2

55/134

60.4%

O/U 2.5

81/134

63.4%

BTTS

85/134

52.2%

Exact score

70/134

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

46.0%

Hit rate

23/50

2.06

Avg odds

-5.7%

ROI

-2.9u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

HOME WIN · N=28 46.4% HIT · AVG 1.99 · -9.4% ROI

BTTS · N=16 50.0% HIT · AVG 2.06 · +1.3% ROI

OVER 2.5 · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 2.58 · +85.0% ROI

DRAW · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.74 · -100.0% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.32 · -100.0% ROI

HOME O1.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.83 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

40%

Hit

-25.2%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

39%

Hit

-13.8%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

50%

Hit

+1.5%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

100%

Hit

+50.0%

ROI

Match log

134 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

September 2026 // 0 PICKS · 0 HIT · 0 MISS

1 SEPT Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo — NO PICK 1–0 —1 SEPT Tigre vs Barracas Central — NO PICK 0–0 —

August 2026 // 8 PICKS · 3 HIT · 5 MISS

31 AUG Independ. Rivadavia vs Racing Club Home +3% 3–1 HIT 31 AUG Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys Home -4% 0–0 MISS 31 AUG Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense — NO PICK 1–0 —30 AUG Talleres Cordoba vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Home -10% 0–0 MISS 30 AUG Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba — NO PICK 0–0 —30 AUG Banfield vs River Plate — NO PICK 2–3 —30 AUG Argentinos JRS vs Aldosivi Home -10% 2–1 HIT 30 AUG Independiente vs Gimnasia M. HO1.5 0–3 MISS 29 AUG Boca Juniors vs Lanus — NO PICK 1–0 —29 AUG Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield — NO PICK 1–1 —29 AUG Rosario Central vs Gimnasia L.P. Home +1% 1–2 MISS 29 AUG Huracan vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Home +2% 1–1 MISS 28 AUG Union Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin BTTS +6% 4–1 HIT