Picerno vs Cosenza Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone C

Italy - Serie C - Girone C Monday, April 13, 2026 —

Picerno PPG 1.06

VS PENDING

Cosenza PPG 1.24

Over3.5· +42.4% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Picerno face Cosenza in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Picerno a 30% chance, the draw 24% and Cosenza 46%, so Cosenza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Picerno and 1.7 for Cosenza (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Picerno are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.24 for Cosenza. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +42.4%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.9%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -7.3%

Draw 23.8%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -29.8%

Away 46.3%

Odds: 2.30 EV: +6.5%

Model lean: BTTS

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.0% Odds: 2.20 +27.6%

Over 3.5 35.6% Odds: 4.00 +42.4%

BTTS 59.8% Odds: 1.83 +9.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 0-1

4th 2-1

5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Picerno

1.32

Cosenza

1.70

Model SuggestionBTTS +9.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+42.4%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 24%

O2.5/Under 57%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -20.6%

Bet Hit 43% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.24)