Patriotas PPG 1.83
Real Cartagena PPG 1.67Patriotas face Real Cartagena on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Patriotas a 26% chance, the draw 28% and Real Cartagena 47%, so Real Cartagena are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Patriotas and 1.4 for Real Cartagena (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Patriotas are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.67 for Real Cartagena.
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.83), Away GOOD (1.67)