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Patriotas vs Real Cartagena Prediction

League logo Colombia flag Unknown League Apertura - 14 Estadio La Independencia· Tunja Monday, April 13, 2026
Patriotas logo Patriotas PPG 1.83
VS PENDING
Real Cartagena logo Real Cartagena PPG 1.67
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Patriotas face Real Cartagena on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Patriotas a 26% chance, the draw 28% and Real Cartagena 47%, so Real Cartagena are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Patriotas and 1.4 for Real Cartagena (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Patriotas are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.67 for Real Cartagena.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 27.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 46.6%
Odds: — EV: —

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 19.7% Odds: —
BTTS 44.9% Odds: —

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Patriotas
0.93
Real Cartagena
1.35

Model Suggestion

No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.83), Away GOOD (1.67)

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