Today / Nueva Chicago vs Midland

Nueva Chicago vs Midland Prediction

Regular Season - 9 ·Monday, April 13, 2026

Nueva Chicago

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Midland

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.7%0-110.9%0-23.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.5%1-111.9%1-23.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.2%2-16.5%2-21.9%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.1%3-12.4%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% — — —

Draw 32.7% — — —

Away win 19.5% — — —

Over 2.5 23.6% — — —

Over 3.5 9.0% — — —

BTTS 29.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob29.3%

H 48% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.5%

#2 0–0 18.7%

#3 1–1 11.9%

#4 2–0 11.2%

#5 0–1 10.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nueva Chicago1.1

Midland0.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.6% · O3.5 PROB 9.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NUEVA CHICAGO · PPG 1.67

MIDLAND · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Nueva Chicago (H) 47.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Midland (A) 19.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nueva Chicago face Midland on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nueva Chicago a 48% chance, the draw 33% and Midland 20%, so Nueva Chicago are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Nueva Chicago and 0.6 for Midland (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nueva Chicago are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Midland.

Nueva Chicago vs Midland Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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