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Union Magdalena vs Inter Palmira Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Colombia - Primera B Monday, April 13, 2026
Union Magdalena PPG 2.00
VS PENDING
Inter Palmira PPG 2.43
Over3.5· +153.7% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Union Magdalena face Inter Palmira in Colombia - Primera B on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Magdalena a 43% chance, the draw 20% and Inter Palmira 37%, so Union Magdalena are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Union Magdalena and 2.0 for Inter Palmira (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 77% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Magdalena are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.43 for Inter Palmira. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +153.7%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.4%
Odds: 1.91 EV: -17.1%
Draw 20.1%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -37.7%
Away 36.5%
Odds: 3.90 EV: +42.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 78.9% Odds: 2.20 +73.6%
Over 3.5 60.4% Odds: 4.20 +153.7%
BTTS 76.9% Odds: 1.95 +50.0%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 1-1
5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Magdalena
2.19
Inter Palmira
2.01

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +73.6% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+153.7%)

League Track Record

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 25%
O2.5/Under 75%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 50%

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.00) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.43)

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