Union Magdalena face Inter Palmira in Colombia - Primera B on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Magdalena a 43% chance, the draw 20% and Inter Palmira 37%, so Union Magdalena are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Union Magdalena and 2.0 for Inter Palmira (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 77% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Magdalena are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.43 for Inter Palmira. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +153.7%.
Based on 4 resolved predictions
Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.00) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.43)