| Grade | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | 7 | 71.4% | +2671.0% |
| B | 2 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| C | 2 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| Unrated | 3 | 33.3% | −2500.0% |
| Market | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10 | 30.0% | −4800.0% |
| Away | 2 | 50.0% | +1250.0% |
| BTTS | 1 | 100.0% | +6700.0% |
| Over2.5 | 1 | 100.0% | +10000.0% |
| Verdict | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @19% | 1 | 100.0% | +6700.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity | Best EV: Away @9% | 1 | 100.0% | +12500.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | Best EV: Over2.5 @9% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | Best EV: Over2.5 @28% | 1 | 100.0% | +5000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity | Best EV: Away @114% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @45% | 1 | 100.0% | +10500.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | Best EV: Over2.5 @15% | 1 | 100.0% | +6500.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @17% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Over2.5 @18% | 1 | 100.0% | +10000.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @24% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @16% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | Foggia vs Salernitana | BTTS | -7% EV | 1-3 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Potenza vs Monopoli | BTTS | -7% EV | 2-2 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Picerno vs Sorrento | Over 2.5 | — | 0-0 | MISS |
| 26 Apr | Altamura vs Casarano | Over 2.5 | 18% EV | 0-4 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Atalanta B vs Catania | BTTS | -16% EV | 1-1 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Benevento vs A. Cerignola | Home | 3% EV | 2-2 | MISS |
| 26 Apr | Trapani vs Siracusa | Over 2.5 | — | 2-2 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Casertana vs Giugliano | Home | 24% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 26 Apr | Cavese vs Cosenza | BTTS | 2% EV | 1-1 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Crotone vs Latina | Home | 4% EV | 2-5 | MISS |
| 19 Apr | Cassino vs Valmontone | — | — | 1-2 | — |
| 19 Apr | Salernitana vs Picerno | Home | 13% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Siracusa vs Cavese | Home | 17% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 19 Apr | Sorrento vs Atalanta B | BTTS | -3% EV | 1-1 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | A. Cerignola vs Altamura | Home | 1% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 19 Apr | Casarano vs Crotone | BTTS | 3% EV | 1-2 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Catania vs Potenza | Home | 9% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 19 Apr | Cosenza vs Trapani | Home | 16% EV | 1-0 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Giugliano vs Benevento | Away | 114% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 19 Apr | Latina vs Casertana | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| 19 Apr | Monopoli vs Foggia | Home | 45% EV | 1-0 | HIT |