Leagues / ITALY / Serie C - Girone C
Serie C - Girone C
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 21 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
23.8%
1X2
5/21
57.1%
O/U 2.5
12/21
47.6%
BTTS
10/21
57.1%
Exact score
12/21
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
17
Settled
58.8%
Hit rate
10/17
1.82
Avg odds
+3.3%
ROI
+0.6u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=9 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.68 · -42.2% ROI
BTTS · N=6 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.73 · +72.7% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 3.40 · -100.0% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.00 · +100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
33%
Hit
-31.7%
ROI
✓ Solid
3
Bets
67%
Hit
+5.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
6
Bets
83%
Hit
+49.5%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
5
Bets
40%
Hit
-32.2%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
April 2026 // 14 PICKS · 8 HIT · 6 MISS
26 APR Trapani vs Siracusa Over 2.5 2–2 HIT26 APR Picerno vs Sorrento Over 2.5 0–0 MISS26 APR Potenza vs Monopoli BTTS -7% 2–2 HIT26 APR Altamura vs Casarano Over 2.5 +18% 0–4 HIT26 APR Atalanta B vs Catania BTTS -16% 1–1 HIT26 APR Benevento vs A. Cerignola Home +3% 2–2 MISS26 APR Casertana vs Giugliano Home +24% 1–1 MISS26 APR Cavese vs Cosenza BTTS +2% 1–1 HIT26 APR Crotone vs Latina Home +4% 2–5 MISS26 APR Foggia vs Salernitana BTTS -7% 1–3 HIT19 APR Sorrento vs Atalanta B BTTS -3% 1–1 HIT19 APR Siracusa vs Cavese Home +17% 1–1 MISS19 APR Cassino vs Valmontone — NO PICK 1–2 —19 APR A. Cerignola vs Altamura Home +1% 1–1 MISS19 APR Casarano vs Crotone BTTS +3% 1–2 HIT