CSKA Sofia vs Levski Sofia Prediction— Bulgaria - First League

Bulgaria - First League Regular Season - 30 National Stadium Vasil Levski· Sofia Monday, April 13, 2026 —

CSKA Sofia PPG 2.36

VS PENDING

Levski Sofia PPG 2.07

Over3.5· +39.9% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

CSKA Sofia face Levski Sofia in Bulgaria - First League on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CSKA Sofia a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Levski Sofia 35%, so CSKA Sofia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for CSKA Sofia and 1.4 for Levski Sofia (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CSKA Sofia are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 2.07 for Levski Sofia. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +39.9%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.3%

Odds: 2.55 EV: +2.8%

Draw 24.9%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -27.8%

Away 34.8%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -4.3%

Model lean: BTTS

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.6% Odds: 2.35 +28.3%

Over 3.5 32.3% Odds: 4.33 +39.9%

BTTS 57.9% Odds: 1.90 +10.0%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-0

4th 1-2

5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

CSKA Sofia

1.49

Levski Sofia

1.37

Model SuggestionBTTS +10.0% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+39.9%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5/Under 33%

BTTS/No 33%

Score Hit 17%

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.36), Away EXCELLENT (2.07)