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Bylis vs Dinamo Tirana Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 31 ·Monday, April 13, 2026

Bylis

PPG 1.47 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dinamo Tirana

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 51.3% — a real, if thin, edge.

+7.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-110.0%0-28.2%0-34.5%0-4+2.6%1 1-07.1%1-111.6%1-29.5%1-35.2%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.1%2-16.7%2-25.5%2-33.0%2-4+1.8%3 3-01.6%3-12.6%3-22.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.1% 32.3% 3.10 -16.0%

Draw 24.5% 34.5% 2.90 -28.9%

Away win 48.5% 45.5% 2.20 +6.7%

Over 2.5 53.0% — — —

Over 3.5 30.8% — — —

BTTS 55.3% 51.3% 1.95 +7.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob55.3%

A 48% / xG 1.2-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 0–1 10.0%

#3 1–2 9.5%

#4 0–2 8.2%

#5 1–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bylis1.2

Dinamo Tirana1.6

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.0% · O3.5 PROB 30.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BYLIS · PPG 1.47

DINAMO TIRANA · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Bylis (H) 27.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -16.0%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -28.9%

Dinamo Tirana (A) 48.5%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +6.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bylis face Dinamo Tirana in Albania - Superliga on Monday, April 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bylis a 27% chance, the draw 25% and Dinamo Tirana 49%, so Dinamo Tirana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bylis and 1.6 for Dinamo Tirana (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bylis are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.33 for Dinamo Tirana. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +7.8%.

Bylis vs Dinamo Tirana Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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